🔮 Prediction for Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is T. Meier Over 2.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Timo Meier went over the line of 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of 12, averaging 3.83 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 8 of 12 (67%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 8, with 1 blanks in those 12.

Timo Meier's last 12 games

8 of 12 over 2.5

2.5

0vs Boston Bruins · 0-4 · 04/14

4vs Philadelphia Flyers · 3-2 · 10/01

6vs New York Islanders · 0-6 · 10/03

8vs Utah Mammoth · 3-5 · 10/06

4vs Vancouver Canucks · 4-1 · 10/10

1vs Ottawa Senators · 1-4 · 10/12

2vs Detroit Red Wings · 5-4 · 10/13

2vs New York Rangers · 7-1 · 10/15

3vs Washington Capitals · 2-4 · 10/17

8vs Colorado Avalanche · 4-3 · 10/20

5vs Anaheim Ducks · 4-1 · 10/22

3vs Los Angeles Kings · 3-1 · 10/24

Recent winning player props

• Ottawa Senators vs Utah Mammoth ✓ Won
• New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils ✓ Won
• Seattle Kraken vs New York Rangers ✓ Won

AI Pick for Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils – NHL

The play is Timo Meier Over 2.5 shots on goal at 2.00.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Over his last 12 games he averages 3.83 shots on goal, 1.33 above the line: the typical Timo Meier number is already on the pick's side.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 4 shots on goal, practically the same as the plain average; it also sits on the pick's side, 1.5 from the line.

Real frequency is the most honest number: in 8 of the last 12 games, Timo Meier finished on the pick's side.

Is it enough? At 2.00 you need to win roughly 6 out of every 12 just to break even, and Timo Meier has been well above that bar.

Recent form backs it: 3, 5, 8, 3 in the last 4, with 4 of 4 on the pick's side, above the rate for the full sample (8 of 12).

In the sample, his standard deviation is 2.55 shots on goal: a boom-or-bust player, capable of games far above and far below his average, and the line sits 0.5 deviations from his average.

Today's setting counts too: on the road, in the sample, he's at 2.75 per game over 4 games.

The Dallas Stars defense: 21.6 shots on goal allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 27.56 (rank 32 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

Shots on goal depend on ice time and power-play usage: more minutes, more shots.

A game where his team trails usually pushes the volume up.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what Timo Meier actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

A rules detail: if Timo Meier doesn't play, the bet is voided.