🔮 Prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Utah Mammoth with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is D. Guenther Under 2.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Dylan Guenther went over the line of 2.5 shots on goal in 4 of 12, averaging 2.42 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 8 of 12 (67%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 5, with 1 blanks in those 12.

Dylan Guenther's last 12 games

8 of 12 under 2.5

2.5

5vs Buffalo Sabres · 4-1 · 10/10

2vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 5-4 · 10/14

2vs Edmonton Oilers · 4-2 · 10/16

2vs Edmonton Oilers · 2-6 · 10/18

2vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 5-4 · 10/20

2vs Seattle Kraken · 3-5 · 10/23

3vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 5-4 · 10/25

4vs Minnesota Wild · 1-3 · 10/28

0vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 4-3 · 10/29

4vs Philadelphia Flyers · 3-6 · 11/01

2vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 3-2 · 11/04

1vs Montréal Canadiens · 4-5 · 11/06

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AI Pick for Ottawa Senators vs Utah Mammoth – NHL

The play is Dylan Guenther Under 2.5 shots on goal at 2.15.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Dylan Guenther has been averaging 2.42 shots on goal over 12 games, and the book set the line at 2.5: 0.08 above that average.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2.2 shots on goal, lower than the plain average because his most recent games came in below it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.3 from the line.

Game by game against this line, 8 out of 12 would have cashed.

At 2.15, break-even means hitting about 5.6 out of every 12; the sample clears that comfortably, and that gap is the pick's value.

In his last 4 games he posted 1, 2, 4, 0 (most recent first): 3 of 4 on the pick's side, in line with the 8 of 12 across the whole sample.

In the sample, his standard deviation is 1.38 shots on goal: a normal spread, and the line sits 0.1 deviations from his average.

Within the sample, Dylan Guenther averages 2.29 shots on goal in his 7 road games, which is how he plays today.

The Ottawa Senators defense: 27.3 shots on goal allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 27.61 (rank 18 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

The shots-on-goal Under wants a clogged game with little ice time for Dylan Guenther; what threatens it most are power plays, where shots come fast and often.

The model doesn't settle for a single number: it crosses the real Dylan Guenther frequency against this line with the bookmakers' consensus, and only publishes the pick when the available odds pay more than that count says.

A rules detail: if Dylan Guenther doesn't play, the bet is voided.