🔮 Prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is T. Hughes Over 1.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, T.J. Hughes went over the line of 1.5 shots on goal in 9 of 12, averaging 2 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 9 of 12 (75%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 4, with 1 blanks in those 12.

T.J. Hughes's last 12 games

9 of 12 over 1.5

1.5

3vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 3-6 · 10/10

1vs Dallas Stars · 3-2 · 10/14

0vs Dallas Stars · 2-3 · 10/15

2vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 5-2 · 10/17

2vs Philadelphia Flyers · 2-3 · 10/19

2vs New Jersey Devils · 3-4 · 10/20

4vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 6-3 · 10/24

1vs Nashville Predators · 2-6 · 10/26

2vs New Jersey Devils · 5-2 · 10/29

2vs Calgary Flames · 5-2 · 11/01

3vs Chicago Blackhawks · 5-2 · 11/03

2vs Columbus Blue Jackets · 2-7 · 11/04

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AI Pick for Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators – NHL

The pick is T.J. Hughes: Over 1.5 shots on goal at 1.70.

It's a bet on a player, not on the game: it doesn't matter who wins as long as T.J. Hughes finishes above that number.

The starting point is his average: 2 per game over the last 12, against a line of 1.5.

That's a 0.5 cushion in the pick's favour.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2.1 shots on goal, higher than the plain average because his most recent games came in above it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.6 from the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 9 of his last 12 games.

For odds of 1.70 to pay off you need to hit about 7.1 out of every 12: the T.J. Hughes record sits comfortably above that.

In his last 4 games he posted 2, 3, 2, 2 (most recent first): 4 of 4 on the pick's side, better than the 9 of 12 across the whole sample.

With a standard deviation of 1.04 across these 12 games, T.J. Hughes's output varies a normal amount: the line is 0.5 deviations from his average.

Today's setting counts too: at home, in the sample, he's at 2.17 per game over 6 games.

Against Nashville Predators, today's opponent, he posted 1 in the sample.

The Nashville Predators defense: 28.4 shots on goal allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 27.43 (rank 14 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

Shots on goal depend on ice time and power-play usage: more minutes, more shots.

A game where his team trails usually pushes the volume up.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what T.J. Hughes actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

A rules detail: if T.J. Hughes doesn't play, the bet is voided.