BundesligaHow the match ended
TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen met on October 25, 2026 in 🇩🇪 Bundesliga and the match ended 3 – 0. TSG Hoffenheim came out on top. 3 goals were scored between the two sides.
The AI had called "Bayer Leverkusen win (draw no bet)" at odds 1.81, but this time the prediction didn't land. The play closed at -130 units. Every pick —hits and misses— stays in gambeta.ai's public record; what defines the AI is long-term ROI, not a single result.
How did the AI reach this prediction?
TSG Hoffenheim · in Bundesliga · 10 games1.70 · 2.20scored · conceded
Bayer Leverkusen · in Bundesliga · 10 games2.40 · 1.50scored · concededTSG Hoffenheim won 4, drew 1 and lost 5 of its last 10 games, with 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Bayer Leverkusen won 6, drew 2 and lost 2 of its last 10 games, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim's last 10 games · Bundesliga only
vs Hamburger SV · 2-1 · 04/25
vs VfB Stuttgart · 3-3 · 05/02
vs Werder Bremen · 1-0 · 05/09
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 0-4 · 05/16
vs 1. FC Köln · 2-3 · 08/29
vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-3 · 09/05vs VfB Stuttgart · 2-1 · 09/12
vs SC Paderborn 07 · 1-3 · 09/20vs Hamburger SV · 2-3 · 10/10vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 2-1 · 10/18Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 games · Bundesliga only
vs 1. FC Köln · 2-1 · 04/25
vs RB Leipzig · 4-1 · 05/02vs VfB Stuttgart · 1-3 · 05/09vs Hamburger SV · 1-1 · 05/16
vs SV Elversberg · 2-3 · 08/29
vs Union Berlin · 4-0 · 09/05
vs FC Augsburg · 2-2 · 09/12vs RB Leipzig · 2-0 · 09/20
vs FSV Mainz 05 · 4-3 · 10/10
vs SC Freiburg · 2-1 · 10/18AI Pick for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen – Bundesliga
The AI goes with Bayer Leverkusen win (draw no bet): it sees a 61% chance that Bayer Leverkusen win once the draw is taken out, and the 1.81 price only needs 55%.
The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 55%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.
The goals model projects 1.60 goals for TSG Hoffenheim and 2.30 for Bayer Leverkusen.
If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void and the stake comes back; the model puts that draw at 20%.
In Bundesliga, TSG Hoffenheim average 1.70 goals for and 2.20 against (10 matches); Bayer Leverkusen, 2.40 and 1.50 (10).
It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.
The AI study: the basis of the prediction
Recent form
TSG Hoffenheim· inconsistent, with more losses than winsBayer Leverkusen· in great formLast matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost
Head-to-head history (H2H)
TSG HoffenheimBayer LeverkusenBLIn the last 9 meetings: 3 wins for TSG Hoffenheim, 0 draws and 6 for Bayer Leverkusen. Playing at home, TSG Hoffenheim have a 1-0-4 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.
- 1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen2026-01-17
- Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim2025-08-23
- Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim2025-02-02
- 1899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen2024-09-14
Absences and injuries
TSG Hoffenheim: N. De Cat (Knee Injury), A. Hajdari (Foot Injury), T. Lemperle (Thigh Injury), P. Wimmer (Thigh Injury).
Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir (Muscle Injury), M. Culbreath (Foot Injury), G. Doue (Calf Injury), K. Eichhorn (Illness), C. Kofane (Muscle Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.
What does "Bayer Leverkusen win (draw no bet)" mean?
A bet that Bayer Leverkusen win the match. If it's a draw or a loss, the pick loses.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.67 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 130 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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