🔮 Prediction for Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks with AI

How the match ended

Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks met on October 26, 2026 in 🏀 NBA and the match ended 109 – 113.

The AI had called "Under 239.5 points" at odds 1.91, and the prediction landed. The play closed at +45.5 units on a stake of 50. This hit is logged in gambeta.ai's public record, where you can track the AI's real performance match by match.

Another pick for this match: B. Portis Over 1.5 threes

The pick is B. Portis Over 1.5 threes. Over his last 20 games, Bobby Portis went over the line of 1.5 threes in 17 of 20, averaging 2.35 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 17 of 20 (85%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 6, with 3 blanks in those 20.

Bobby Portis's last 20 games

14 of 20 over 1.5

1.5

vs Oklahoma City Thunder · 02/13

vs New Orleans Pelicans · 02/21

vs Toronto Raptors · 02/22

vs Miami Heat · 02/25

vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 02/26

vs New York Knicks · 02/28

vs Chicago Bulls · 03/01

vs Boston Celtics · 03/03

vs Atlanta Hawks · 03/05

vs Utah Jazz · 03/08

vs Orlando Magic · 03/09

vs Miami Heat · 03/12

vs Atlanta Hawks · 03/14

vs Indiana Pacers · 03/15

vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 03/18

vs Utah Jazz · 03/20

vs LA Clippers · 03/24

vs Minnesota Timberwolves · 10/21

vs Detroit Pistons · 10/24

vs Charlotte Hornets · 10/24

Recent winning player props

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs ✓ Won
Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic ✓ Won
Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets ✓ Won

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Miami Heat · in NBA · 8 games118.1 · 123.0scored · conceded

Dallas Mavericks · in NBA · 8 games118.8 · 122.3scored · conceded

Miami Heat averages 241.1 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 4 of them went under 239.5. Dallas Mavericks averages 241.0 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 5 of them went under 239.5.

Miami Heat's last 8 games

4 of 8 under 239.5

239.5

21695-121

vs Toronto Raptors · 95-121 · 04/07

242114-128

vs Toronto Raptors · 114-128 · 04/09

257140-117

vs Washington Wizards · 140-117 · 04/10

260143-117

vs Atlanta Hawks · 143-117 · 04/12

253126-127

vs Charlotte Hornets · 126-127 · 04/14

237106-131

vs Minnesota Timberwolves · 106-131 · 10/21

239111-128

vs Detroit Pistons · 111-128 · 10/24

225110-115

vs Charlotte Hornets · 110-115 · 10/24

Dallas Mavericks's last 8 games

5 of 8 under 239.5

239.5

262134-128

vs Los Angeles Lakers · 134-128 · 04/05

219103-116

vs Los Angeles Clippers · 103-116 · 04/08

219107-112

vs Phoenix Suns · 107-112 · 04/09

259120-139

vs San Antonio Spurs · 120-139 · 04/11

277149-128

vs Chicago Bulls · 149-128 · 04/13

238110-128

vs Houston Rockets · 110-128 · 10/22

226121-105

vs Indiana Pacers · 121-105 · 10/23

228106-122

vs San Antonio Spurs · 106-122 · 10/25

Absences and doubts

Miami Heat

Dallas MavericksMargin: −7.8 pts

Cooper Flagg Out 24.6 pts · 32 min
Naji Marshall Out 15.8 pts · 29 min
Santi Aldama Out 14.5 pts · 29 min

Dallas Mavericks are without Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall: the model takes 7.8 points off their margin for those absences.

AI Pick for Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks – NBA

The model projects Miami Heat at 122.3 points and Dallas Mavericks at 109.0: 231.3 in total, 8.2 away from the 239.5 line.

In the NBA the real total lands about 19 points away from the projected one on average: 8.2 is a reasonable margin.

The Under 239.5 needs both teams to combine for less than that, and overtime counts: every minute run off the clock helps.

Miami Heat, last 8 games: 2-6, scoring 118.1 and allowing 123.0 per game.

Dallas Mavericks, last 8 games: 3-5, scoring 118.8 and allowing 122.3 per game.

Miami Heat: 4 of their last 8 games finished with fewer than 239.5 total points (average 241.1).

Dallas Mavericks: 5 of their last 8 games finished with fewer than 239.5 total points (average 241.0).

Dallas Mavericks are without Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall: the model takes 7.8 points off their margin for those absences.

19 bookmakers quote the line and the AI compares it with their fair price: the value comes from that gap, not from guessing the winner.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.76 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.