🔮 Prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks with AI | NBA 🏀

Why this pick

The pick is K. Towns Under 37.5 points+rebounds+assists. Over his last 20 games, Karl-Anthony Towns went over the line of 37.5 points+rebounds+assists in 5 of 20, averaging 32.25 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 15 of 20 (75%).

Across the sample his range runs from 13 to 50.

Karl-Anthony Towns's last 20 games

17 of 20 under 37.5

37.5

37vs Philadelphia 76ers · 05/06

27vs Philadelphia 76ers · 05/08

31vs Philadelphia 76ers · 05/10

31vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 05/20

32vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 05/22

28vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 05/24

36vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 05/26

34vs San Antonio Spurs · 06/04

38vs San Antonio Spurs · 06/06

20vs San Antonio Spurs · 06/09

25vs San Antonio Spurs · 06/11

13vs San Antonio Spurs · 06/14

32vs Philadelphia 76ers · 10/20

35vs Boston Celtics · 10/23

40vs Orlando Magic · 10/25

50vs Detroit Pistons · 10/28

37vs Chicago Bulls · 10/29

37vs Philadelphia 76ers · 10/30

32vs Brooklyn Nets · 11/03

30vs Chicago Bulls · 11/05

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AI Pick for Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks – NBA

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 37.5 points + rebounds + assists (New York Knicks), at 1.89.

The final score doesn't matter; what matters is the Karl-Anthony Towns stat line when it's over.

Karl-Anthony Towns has been averaging 32.25 points + rebounds + assists over 20 games, and the book set the line at 37.5: 5.25 above that average.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 34.5 points + rebounds + assists, higher than the plain average because his most recent games came in above it; it also sits on the pick's side, 3 from the line.

Real frequency is the most honest number: in 17 of the last 20 games, Karl-Anthony Towns finished on the pick's side.

For odds of 1.89 to pay off you need to hit about 10.6 out of every 20: the Karl-Anthony Towns record sits comfortably above that.

His last 4 games (30, 32, 37, 37, newest first) leave 4 of 4 on the pick's side: no sharp change from the full sample.

In the sample, his standard deviation is 7.7 points + rebounds + assists: a consistent player who rarely goes off script, and the line sits 0.7 deviations from his average.

Within the sample, Karl-Anthony Towns averages 31.6 points + rebounds + assists in his 10 road games, which is how he plays today.

He has already faced Cleveland Cavaliers within the sample: 36, 28, 32 points + rebounds + assists in those games.

Cleveland Cavaliers allow 186.56 points + rebounds + assists per game over their last 9 (league average: 183.88); that ranks 12 of 30 among the teams that give up the most.

For the points, rebounds and assists Under, several categories have to fall short together or the minutes have to be trimmed; in a close game, that is hard.

Where does the edge come from? From comparing two things: how often Karl-Anthony Towns clears this line or not in real life, and the market's consensus price.

When the odds on offer pay more than that blend, there's value.

A rules detail: if Karl-Anthony Towns doesn't play, the bet is voided.