How the match ended
Chapecoense and Fluminense met on October 24, 2026 in 🇧🇷 Brasileirao and the match ended 2 – 1. Chapecoense came out on top. 3 goals were scored between the two sides.
The AI had called "Fluminense win" at odds 1.85, but this time the prediction didn't land. The play closed at -50 units. Every pick —hits and misses— stays in gambeta.ai's public record; what defines the AI is long-term ROI, not a single result.
How did the AI reach this prediction?
Chapecoense won 2, drew 2 and lost 6 of its last 10 games, with 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game. Fluminense won 5, drew 2 and lost 3 of its last 10 games, with 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Chapecoense's last 10 games · Brasileirão only
Fluminense's last 10 games · Brasileirão only
AI Pick for Chapecoense vs Fluminense – Brasileirão
The pick stands behind Fluminense, priced 1.85 as favourites. The choice is not automatic: it is argued.
The AI goes with Fluminense win because Fluminense arrives in better form: 2 wins in its last 5, against 0 in 5 for Chapecoense.
The pick is Fluminense win at 1.85, and the AI reads it as clearly better than what that price is paying.
That gap is the only thing that decides a pick: not which side looks stronger, but which one is mispriced.
Momentum agrees: Chapecoense won 0 of their last 5, Fluminense 2 of 5 — the push belongs to Fluminense, and the model counts it when taking this side.
The head-to-head adds context: across the last 9 meetings there were 1 win for Chapecoense, 3 draws and 5 for Fluminense.
It does not decide a pick on its own, but it does say whether this fixture tends to be tight or one-way traffic.
It's a straight win: Fluminense has to win in regular time, and a draw loses.
That extra risk is exactly why it pays more than a double chance.
Fluminense plays away, without the push of their own ground.
The model already discounts that in the numbers, and the pick still comes out on this side.
The analysis belongs to Gambeta's AI predictions coverage of Brasileirão. No hunches: odds against model, picks published with their reasoning, and a win-loss history open to anyone. If you were after the Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction, this is the full version.
The AI study: the basis of the prediction
Recent form
Chapecoense· in a rough patch
Fluminense· inconsistent, with more losses than winsLast matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost
Head-to-head history (H2H)
ChapecoenseFluminenseFL
In the last 9 meetings: 1 wins for Chapecoense, 3 draws and 5 for Fluminense. Playing at home, Chapecoense have a 1-1-2 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.
- Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense-sc2026-04-26
- Fluminense 3-0 Chapecoense-sc2021-12-10
- Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Fluminense2021-09-08
- Fluminense 1-1 Chapecoense-SC2019-10-26
Absences and injuries
Chapecoense: Heitor (Hamstring Injury), Kauan (Yellow Cards), Rafael Carvalheira (Knee Injury), Robert Conceicao (Knee Injury), Vinicius Balieiro (Knee Injury).
Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury), John Kennedy (Knee Injury), Martinelli (Inactive), Matheus Reis (Knee Injury), J. Millan (Inactive). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.
What does "Fluminense win" mean?
A bet that Fluminense win the match. If it's a draw or a loss, the pick loses.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.70 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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