🔮 Prediction for AC Milan vs Bologna with AI

How the match ended

AC Milan and Bologna met on October 28, 2026 in 🇮🇹 Serie A and the match ended 2 – 4. Bologna came out on top. 6 goals were scored between the two sides.

The AI had called "Bologna +1.5" at odds 1.53, and the prediction landed. The play closed at +26.5 units on a stake of 50. This hit is logged in gambeta.ai's public record, where you can track the AI's real performance match by match.

How did the AI reach this prediction?

AC Milan · in Serie A · 10 games1.90 · 1.30scored · conceded

Bologna · in Serie A · 10 games1.20 · 1.30scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match2.65

AC Milan won 6, drew 3 and lost 1 of its last 10 games, with 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Bologna won 3, drew 3 and lost 4 of its last 10 games, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

AC Milan's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 7 of 10

22-1

vs Genoa · 2-1 · 05/17

11-2

vs Cagliari · 1-2 · 05/24

22-1

vs Torino · 2-1 · 08/23

22-0

vs Venezia · 2-0 · 08/28

11-1

vs Juventus · 1-1 · 09/06

22-2

vs Lazio · 2-2 · 09/12

33-0

vs Lecce · 3-0 · 09/20

11-1

vs Sassuolo · 1-1 · 10/11

33-2

vs Atalanta · 3-2 · 10/18

22-0

vs Udinese · 2-0 · 10/25

Bologna's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 9 of 10

11-0

vs Atalanta · 1-0 · 05/17

33-3

vs Inter · 3-3 · 05/23

00-1

vs Lazio · 0-1 · 08/24

00-1

vs Atalanta · 0-1 · 08/31

22-2

vs Sassuolo · 2-2 · 09/06

00-1

vs Napoli · 0-1 · 09/13

11-1

vs Torino · 1-1 · 09/19

22-1

vs Lecce · 2-1 · 10/11

11-3

vs Inter · 1-3 · 10/17

22-0

vs Cagliari · 2-0 · 10/24

AI Pick for AC Milan vs Bologna – Serie A

The AI goes with Bologna +1.5: it sees a 71% chance that Bologna cover the +1.5 line, and the 1.53 price only needs 65%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 67%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.55 goals for AC Milan and 1.09 for Bologna.

Bologna cover the +1.5 line as long as they do not lose by 2 or more goals; a win or a draw counts too.

In Serie A, AC Milan average 1.90 goals for and 1.30 against (10 matches); Bologna, 1.20 and 1.30 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

AC Milan· in good form

WLWWD

Bologna· with even performances

WLWDL

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

522

AC MilanBolognaBO Bologna

In the last 9 meetings: 5 wins for AC Milan, 2 draws and 2 for Bologna. Playing at home, AC Milan have a 3-1-1 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Bologna 0-3 AC Milan2026-02-03
AC Milan 1-0 Bologna2025-09-14
AC Milan 0-1 Bologna2025-05-14
AC Milan 3-1 Bologna2025-05-09

Absences and injuries

AC Milan: S. Chukwueze (Hip Injury), M. Gabbia (Thigh Injury), M. Gila (Ankle Injury), R. Loftus-Cheek (Thigh Injury), D. Moreira (Thigh Injury).
Bologna: L. De Silvestri (Muscle Injury), J. Enem (Achilles Tendon Injury), E. Holm (Thigh Injury), R. Orsolini (Thigh Injury), R. Piccoli (Hamstring Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

What is a handicap?

A handicap gives a team a head start or a deficit before the game begins. With Bologna +1.5, the pick wins if Bologna win the game or lose by 1 or less.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.41 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.