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๐Ÿพ๐Ÿ€ Eight of fourteen: a good day, even if Booker didn't help

Yesterday we hit 8 of 14 across Serie A, MLB and well-placed unders; today we're back in Italy and the NBA with eight new picks.

Published on 2026-10-28

Player in action: the gambeta.ai Betting Journal for Wednesday, October 28

Yesterday we closed with 8 wins and 6 losses, and it was a good day: that's two positive days in a row. Mind you, the month is still in the red, so we celebrate with a cool head. Today there are eight picks pending: four from Serie A and four from the NBA.

๐ŸŸข Yesterday's scorecard, Tuesday, October 27

8 of 14picks hit yesterday
+0.78 uunits (1 u per pick)
+5.6%return for the day
+1.95 ulast 7 days (76 of 140 picks hit)
โˆ’10.14 uOctober so far (190 of 362, โˆ’2.8%)

Streak: 2 days in a row in the green.

๐Ÿงพ Pick by pick

MatchPickConfidenceStakeOddsResult
vs to win1302.00โœ… Won 1-10
vs to win (draw no bet)501.70โœ… Won 2-6
vs to win501.82โœ… Won 1-3
vsHandicap +8.5501.91โŒ Lost 125-114
vsJ. Jaquez Jr: Over 15.5 points501.86โŒ Lost 8 points (110-102)
vsD. Booker: Over 22.5 points501.91โŒ Lost 3 points (125-114)
vsUnder 239.5 points501.87โœ… Won 212 points (110-102)
vsOver 3.5 runs (first 5 innings)501.71โœ… Won 0-10 (1-10)
vsA. Thompson: Over 16.5 points501.90โŒ Lost 15 points (120-110)
vsE. Cowan: Over 0.5 points502.00โœ… Won 1 points (5-2)
vsC. McDavid: Over 1.5 points501.72โŒ Lost 1 points (3-4)
vsD. Mateychuk: Over 1.5 shots502.20โŒ Lost 1 shots (3-4)
vsJ. Randle: Under 5.5 assists501.83โœ… Won 4 assists (125-124)
vsHandicap +12.5501.85โœ… Won 125-124

๐Ÿ“Š Jaime Jaquez Jr (Milwaukee Bucks): 8 points in 25 minutes (4 of 13 from the field, 0 of 4 from three). Our line was over 15.5.

๐Ÿ“Š Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns): 3 points in 34 minutes (1 of 7 from the field, 0 of 2 from three). Our line was over 22.5.

๐Ÿ“Š Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): 15 points in 28 minutes (6 of 8 from the field). Our line was over 16.5.

โœ… Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee won 10-1 and took the game comfortably. A High confidence pick that delivered.

โœ… Sassuolo vs Lazio

Lazio won 6-2 away at Sassuolo. With Draw No Bet, the pick was covered and it settled without any drama.

โœ… Torino vs Como

Como won 3-1 away. Pick won.

โŒ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

Phoenix +8.5 and lost 125-114: the margin was 11, so they blew past our cushion by three points. A reasonable pick that just didn't land.

โŒ Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Jaquez Jr. finished with 8 points against a line of 15.5, going 4 of 13 from the field and 0 of 4 from three. He played 25 minutes against an average of 31, and it was a truly poor night.

โŒ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

Booker scored 3 points on 1 of 7 from the field and 0 of 2 from three, playing 34 minutes. A terrible night for him against a line of 22.5: the pick was sound and there was nothing to be done.

โœ… Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Bucks-Pacers ended 110-102, 212 points against a line of 239.5. An under that cashed with plenty of room to spare.

โœ… Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

With 10 runs from Milwaukee in the first five innings, the 3.5 line looked tiny. Pick won without breaking a sweat.

โŒ Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Amen Thompson scored 15 points against a line of 16.5, going 6 of 8 from the field. He played 28 minutes against an average of 42 and we don't know why; the pick lost by a hair.

โœ… Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Cowan got his point, which was enough to clear the 0.5 line. Not exactly epic, but a win.

โŒ Edmonton Oilers vs Detroit Red Wings

McDavid finished with 1 point against a line of 1.5 and Edmonton fell 3-4. We missed by half a point, and that half-point is the one that hurts.

โŒ Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets

Mateychuk finished with 1 shot against a line of 1.5 and the game ended 3-4. Pick lost by a single shot.

โœ… Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

Randle dished out 4 assists against a line of 5.5 on the under. Won, and the game was decided 125-124.

โœ… Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn +12.5 and lost 125-124 in a nail-biter. The spread was covered with plenty of margin.

๐ŸŽฏ Today's picks, Wednesday, October 28

TimeMatchPickOddsConfidence
vsHandicap +1.51.53
vsDouble chance 1X1.63
vs to win1.83
vs to win1.70
vsJ. Brown: Over 1.5 threes1.91
vsUnder 242 points1.91
vsOver 215.5 points1.89
vsUnder 239.5 points1.90

โญ The pick I like best today

My star pick today is Napoli to win away at Monza, in Serie A, at odds of 1.83 with Medium-High confidence. I prefer a straight winner market over building something complicated, and the price offers a reasonable return without going wild. Of today's football picks, it's the best-priced among those the model sees with similar backing. As always, it's an opinion with risk: it can go wrong and nothing is a sure thing.

โšฝ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A
KICK-OFF
AI CONFIDENCEMedium-High
MonzaVSNapoli
AI recommendationFULL ANALYSIS โ†’
NAPOLI

Two green days in a row isn't a trend, it's a good run. Bet smart and never stake what you can't afford to lose.

Every result comes from the verified track record: we publish each pick before the match and settle it with public data, win or lose. See how it works ยท responsible gambling.

โš ๏ธ Gamble responsibly. Betting can be addictive. Adults 18+ only. Predictions are estimates and do not guarantee results.

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