Yesterday we closed with 8 wins and 6 losses, and it was a good day: that's two positive days in a row. Mind you, the month is still in the red, so we celebrate with a cool head. Today there are eight picks pending: four from Serie A and four from the NBA.
๐ข Yesterday's scorecard, Tuesday, October 27
Streak: 2 days in a row in the green.
๐งพ Pick by pick
| Match | Pick | Confidence | Stake | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 2.00 | โ Won 1-10 | |||
| 50 | 1.70 | โ Won 2-6 | |||
| 50 | 1.82 | โ Won 1-3 | |||
| Handicap | 50 | 1.91 | โ Lost 125-114 | ||
| J. Jaquez Jr: Over 15.5 points | 50 | 1.86 | โ Lost 8 points (110-102) | ||
| D. Booker: Over 22.5 points | 50 | 1.91 | โ Lost 3 points (125-114) | ||
| Under 239.5 points | 50 | 1.87 | โ Won 212 points (110-102) | ||
| Over 3.5 runs (first 5 innings) | 50 | 1.71 | โ Won 0-10 (1-10) | ||
| A. Thompson: Over 16.5 points | 50 | 1.90 | โ Lost 15 points (120-110) | ||
| E. Cowan: Over 0.5 points | 50 | 2.00 | โ Won 1 points (5-2) | ||
| C. McDavid: Over 1.5 points | 50 | 1.72 | โ Lost 1 points (3-4) | ||
| D. Mateychuk: Over 1.5 shots | 50 | 2.20 | โ Lost 1 shots (3-4) | ||
| J. Randle: Under 5.5 assists | 50 | 1.83 | โ Won 4 assists (125-124) | ||
| Handicap | 50 | 1.85 | โ Won 125-124 |
๐ Jaime Jaquez Jr (Milwaukee Bucks): 8 points in 25 minutes (4 of 13 from the field, 0 of 4 from three). Our line was over 15.5.
๐ Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns): 3 points in 34 minutes (1 of 7 from the field, 0 of 2 from three). Our line was over 22.5.
๐ Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): 15 points in 28 minutes (6 of 8 from the field). Our line was over 16.5.
โ Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee won 10-1 and took the game comfortably. A High confidence pick that delivered.
โ Sassuolo vs Lazio
Lazio won 6-2 away at Sassuolo. With Draw No Bet, the pick was covered and it settled without any drama.
โ Torino vs Como
Como won 3-1 away. Pick won.
โ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Phoenix +8.5 and lost 125-114: the margin was 11, so they blew past our cushion by three points. A reasonable pick that just didn't land.
โ Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Jaquez Jr. finished with 8 points against a line of 15.5, going 4 of 13 from the field and 0 of 4 from three. He played 25 minutes against an average of 31, and it was a truly poor night.
โ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Booker scored 3 points on 1 of 7 from the field and 0 of 2 from three, playing 34 minutes. A terrible night for him against a line of 22.5: the pick was sound and there was nothing to be done.
โ Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Bucks-Pacers ended 110-102, 212 points against a line of 239.5. An under that cashed with plenty of room to spare.
โ Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers
With 10 runs from Milwaukee in the first five innings, the 3.5 line looked tiny. Pick won without breaking a sweat.
โ Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
Amen Thompson scored 15 points against a line of 16.5, going 6 of 8 from the field. He played 28 minutes against an average of 42 and we don't know why; the pick lost by a hair.
โ Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Cowan got his point, which was enough to clear the 0.5 line. Not exactly epic, but a win.
โ Edmonton Oilers vs Detroit Red Wings
McDavid finished with 1 point against a line of 1.5 and Edmonton fell 3-4. We missed by half a point, and that half-point is the one that hurts.
โ Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mateychuk finished with 1 shot against a line of 1.5 and the game ended 3-4. Pick lost by a single shot.
โ Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Randle dished out 4 assists against a line of 5.5 on the under. Won, and the game was decided 125-124.
โ Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn +12.5 and lost 125-124 in a nail-biter. The spread was covered with plenty of margin.
๐ฏ Today's picks, Wednesday, October 28
| Time | Match | Pick | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Handicap | 1.53 | |||
| Double chance 1X | 1.63 | |||
| 1.83 | ||||
| 1.70 | ||||
| J. Brown: Over 1.5 threes | 1.91 | |||
| Under 242 points | 1.91 | |||
| Over 215.5 points | 1.89 | |||
| Under 239.5 points | 1.90 |
โญ The pick I like best today
My star pick today is Napoli to win away at Monza, in Serie A, at odds of 1.83 with Medium-High confidence. I prefer a straight winner market over building something complicated, and the price offers a reasonable return without going wild. Of today's football picks, it's the best-priced among those the model sees with similar backing. As always, it's an opinion with risk: it can go wrong and nothing is a sure thing.
Two green days in a row isn't a trend, it's a good run. Bet smart and never stake what you can't afford to lose.
Every result comes from the verified track record: we publish each pick before the match and settle it with public data, win or lose. See how it works ยท responsible gambling.
โ ๏ธ Gamble responsibly. Betting can be addictive. Adults 18+ only. Predictions are estimates and do not guarantee results.